ENSO’s Changing Grip on Bering Sea Ice: The Emerging Control of the North Pacific Meridional Mode
编号:375 稿件编号:31 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-04-16 11:45:43 浏览:92次 特邀报告

报告开始:2026年04月27日 08:30 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会议:[S1-15] 专题1.15 热带海气相互作用 » [F33] 专题1.15 热带海气相互作用(4月27日上午)

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摘要
Bering Sea winter sea ice (BSWI), vital for regional climate, ecosystem, and livelihoods, is significantly influenced by El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Here we identify a shift in the ENSO-BSWI relationship. Pre-mid-1990s, traditional eastern Pacific ENSO dominated, driving a positive ENSO-BSWI linkage; Post-mid-1990s, more frequent Central Pacific (CP) ENSO events reversed this relationship to negative. Observations and model experiments show CP El Niño coupled with positive-phase North Pacific Meridional Mode (NPMM) redirects poleward-propagating Rossby wave trains, enhancing Bering Sea southerlies. This suppresses ice advection, intensifies warm air intrusion, and reduces BSWI. Strengthened CP ENSO-NPMM coupling and heightened NPMM variability amplify this teleconnection, increasing its influence on BSWI by 38.9% versus NPMM alone. Our findings underscore the growing role of subtropical and tropical Pacific climate interactions in subarctic sea ice variability and highlight the need for improved climate models that capture ENSO diversity, NPMM dynamics, and subtropical-subarctic teleconnections to enhance BSWI projections under climate change. 
关键字
ENSO-NPMM coupling; Bering Sea Ice; Pacific atmospheric wave train; mid-1990s
报告人
陈洁鹏
研究员 中国科学院南海海洋研究所

稿件作者
ChenJiepeng Chinese Academy of Sciences;South China Sea Institute of Oceanology
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