Atmospheric circulation patterns and synoptic systems leading to extreme precipitation in the southern Philippines during La Niña winters
编号:914 稿件编号:1191 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2026-04-08 20:35:13 浏览:105次 口头报告

报告开始:2026年04月26日 15:10 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会议:[S1-17] 专题1.17 气候变化驱动的大尺度环流变异与极端天气 » [F3] 专题1.17 气候变化驱动的大尺度环流变异与极端天气

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摘要
More than half of winter extreme precipitation days in the southern Philippines occurred in La Niña years during 1996-2022. Present study investigates atmospheric circulation patterns and synoptic systems leading to the occurrence of those extreme precipitations. It is found that La Niña winter extreme precipitation in the southern Philippines tends to occur when the East Asian winter monsoon is stronger. Extreme precipitation in the southern Philippines is caused by three synoptic systems: westward moving tropical cyclones and tropical depressions (TCs/TDs) generated in the Philippine Sea, northeasterly cold surges (CSs) originating from the mid-latitude East Asia, and local vortices (LVs). Those synoptic systems act individually or in combination in causing extreme precipitation in the southern Philippines. They are associated with different atmospheric circulation patterns. TCs/TDs play the role when anomalous upper-level divergence over the tropical central Pacific is located northward and the westward steering flows are present over the Philippine Sea, favorable for the westward move of TCs/TDs generated in the Philippine Sea. CSs play the role when the East Asian trough is intensified and the East Asian westerly jet stream is enhanced, which is favorable for the occurrence and southward move of the CSs. LVs play the role when anomalous downward motion over the tropical central Pacific is located southward and anomalous lower-level convergence over the southern Philippines is shifted southward, favorable for the formation of LVs.
 
关键字
Extreme precipitation; southern Philippines; La Niña winters; tropical cyclones/depressions; northeasterly cold surges; local vortices
报告人
张文珺
工程师 浙江大学-地球科学学院

稿件作者
张文珺 浙江大学-地球科学学院
吴仁广 浙江大学地球科学学院
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